November 2009 shows 1 year increase in sales, but declines in price

December 30, 2009

The number of homes sold in November 2009 surpassed November 2008 by 51 percent.  This November saw 1575 homes sold in San Antonio.  Even though this is the lowest number sold since April’s 1499, it surpassed November 2008’s 1040 by 535 homes.  The 1575 homes were down one person from November 2007’s 1591.

Year Month Home sales Percent change (1 year) Percent change (2 year) Average Price Percent change (1 year) Median Price Percent change (1 year) Active Listing Percent change (1 year) Months in Inventory
2007 Nov 1,591 176,000 145,000 12,578 7.905
2007 Dec 1,689 181,600 148,500 11,843 7.011
2008 Jan 1,235 -0.13 171,500 0.01 140,400 -0.01 12,368 0.28 10.014
2008 Feb 1,546 -0.09 170,600 -0.03 143,000 0 12,631 0.22 8.17
2008 Mar 1,723 -0.19 179,900 0.04 147,900 0.02 13,091 0.21 7.597
2008 Apr 1,744 -0.17 185,100 0.03 152,300 0.05 13,479 0.17 7.728
2008 May 1,909 -0.23 186,800 0.04 151,700 0.03 13,640 0.11 7.145
2008 Jun 2,096 -0.14 193,600 0 157,800 0 13,871 0.09 6.617
2008 Jul 1,890 -0.2 185,500 0 153,400 0.01 14,088 0.09 7.453
2008 Aug 1,799 -0.25 184,500 -0.01 150,200 -0.01 13,814 0.07 7.678
2008 Sep 1,655 -0.12 176,800 -0.01 144,500 -0.01 13,618 0.06 8.228
2008 Oct 1,423 -0.17 184,500 0.07 144,300 0 13,541 0.03 9.515
2008 Nov 1,040 -0.35 178,900 0.02 142,600 -0.02 13,137 0.04 12.631
2008 Dec 1,311 -0.22 177,700 -0.02 141,500 -0.05 12,281 0.04 9.367
2009 Jan 859 -0.3 -0.4 184,800 0.08 145,900 0.04 12,349 0 14.376
2009 Feb 1,156 -0.25 -0.32 175,000 0.03 142,300 0 12,622 0 10.918
2009 Mar 1,372 -0.2 -0.36 172,000 -0.04 143,800 -0.03 12,807 -0.02 9.334
2009 Apr 1,499 -0.14 -0.29 180,900 -0.02 148,000 -0.03 12,690 -0.06 8.465
2009 May 1,666 -0.13 -0.33 184,100 -0.01 151,500 0 12,601 -0.08 7.563
2009 Jun 1,953 -0.07 -0.2 189,400 -0.02 156,100 -0.01 12,516 -0.1 6.408
2009 Jul 2,041 0.08 -0.14 186,100 0 158,400 0.03 12,413 -0.12 6.081
2009 Aug 1,798 0 -0.25 180,200 -0.02 147,800 -0.02 12,224 -0.12 6.798
2009 Sep 1,592 -0.04 -0.16 174,200 -0.01 146,600 0.01 11,865 -0.13 7.452
2009 Oct 1,722 0.21 0 165,900 -0.1 138,500 -0.04 11,583 -0.14 6.726
2009 Nov 1,575 0.51 -0.01 170,000 -0.05 140,000 -0.02 11,506 -0.12 7.305
Year Month Sales 1 Yr Change 2 Yr Change Average Price % Price Change Median Price % 1 Yr Change Active Listings % 1 Yr Change Months of Inventory

The price of homes did not increase.  The average home price was $170,000, which was a 5 percent drop from November 2008’s $178,900.  The median price was $140,000, which was 2 percent below last November’s $142,600.

Trend in price distribution emerges with October 2009 data

December 6, 2009

San Antonio had fewer homesales overall in 2009.  There is a story in the price distribution of the houses sold.  For example, San Antonio’s extremely low priced homes, or homes under $70,000, gained more market share at every price point.  In 2009, more of the homes sold were extremely low priced homes.  The data show decent gains for average priced homes, too, see below.

Price Range Percent Distribution # of Sales
2008 2009* 2008 2009* Change
$29,999 or less 2.3 2.7 446 423 -5.24%
30,000 - 39,999 1.7 2 330 313 -5.04%
40,000 - 49,999 2 2 388 313 -19.28%
50,000 - 59,999 2.2 2.3 427 360 -15.61%
60,000 - 69,999 2.7 2.6 523 407 -22.27%
70,000 - 79,999 3.6 2.9 698 454 -34.98%
80,000 - 89,999 4.5 4 872 626 -28.25%
90,000 - 99,999 4.4 4.2 853 657 -22.95%
Under 100k 23.4 22.7 4,537 3,552 -21.70%
100k - 119,999 9.7 10 1,881 1,565 -16.78%
120k - 139,999 12.1 12.4 2,346 1,940 -17.28%
140k - 159,999 11.4 11.5 2,210 1,800 -18.57%
100k - 160k 33.2 33.9 6,436 5,305 -17.58%
160k - 179,999 8.8 8.6 1,706 1,346 -21.12%
180k - 199,999 6 6.7 1,163 1,048 -9.86%
200k - 249,999 10.2 10 1,977 1,565 -20.86%
250k - 299,999 6.3 6.5 1,221 1,017 -16.72%
300k - 399,999 6.3 6.2 1,221 970 -20.56%
400k - 499,999 2.6 2.4 504 376 -25.49%
500k and more 3.2 2.9 620 454 -26.85%

The middle range homes show gains, as seen in the $100k to $160k category and the $180k to $199,999 category, the latter having a large increase in marketshare.  Homes above $300,000 all showed drops in 2009.  San Antonio has a median family income of around $53,000 and banks have gotten tighter with their lending requirements, so it is likely families who would have risked the higher mortgage in 2006 either will not or cannot in today’s market.

San Antonio’s October 2009 sales jump

December 1, 2009

October 2009 posted 24 percent more than October 2008.  There were 1760 homes sold this October in San Antonio, which is much higher than the 1423 from last year.  The real story is October was also 2 percent above October 2007.  There has not been any positive percent increases for the two year periods in 2009.  Overall, October did have the lowest number of sales since May 2009, but at least they are starting to have consistent yearly gains.

Year Month Sales 1 Yr Change 2 Yr Change Average Price % Price Change Median Price % 1 Yr Change Active Listings % 1 Yr Change Months of Inventory
2007 Jan 1,421 169,200 142,400 9,696 6.823
2007 Feb 1,701 175,800 143,100 10,388 6.106
2007 Mar 2,139 173,800 145,700 10,785 5.042
2007 Apr 2,107 180,400 145,000 11,563 5.487
2007 May 2,478 180,400 147,200 12,256 4.945
2007 Jun 2,443 193,200 157,200 12,718 5.205
2007 Jul 2,372 184,700 152,300 12,946 5.457
2007 Aug 2,409 186,800 151,500 12,857 5.337
2007 Sep 1,885 178,100 146,600 12,884 6.835
2007 Oct 1,722 172,300 144,400 13,103 7.609
2007 Nov 1,591 176,000 145,000 12,578 7.905
2007 Dec 1,689 181,600 148,500 11,843 7.011
2008 Jan 1,235 -0.13 171,500 0.01 140,400 -0.01 12,368 0.28 10.014
2008 Feb 1,546 -0.09 170,600 -0.03 143,000 0 12,631 0.22 8.17
2008 Mar 1,723 -0.19 179,900 0.04 147,900 0.02 13,091 0.21 7.597
2008 Apr 1,744 -0.17 185,100 0.03 152,300 0.05 13,479 0.17 7.728
2008 May 1,909 -0.23 186,800 0.04 151,700 0.03 13,640 0.11 7.145
2008 Jun 2,096 -0.14 193,600 0 157,800 0 13,871 0.09 6.617
2008 Jul 1,890 -0.2 185,500 0 153,400 0.01 14,088 0.09 7.453
2008 Aug 1,799 -0.25 184,500 -0.01 150,200 -0.01 13,814 0.07 7.678
2008 Sep 1,655 -0.12 176,800 -0.01 144,500 -0.01 13,618 0.06 8.228
2008 Oct 1,423 -0.17 184,500 0.07 144,300 0 13,541 0.03 9.515
2008 Nov 1,039 -0.35 178,900 0.02 142,500 -0.02 13,137 0.04 12.643
2008 Dec 1,309 -0.22 177,600 -0.02 141,400 -0.05 12,281 0.04 9.381
2009 Jan 859 -0.3 -0.4 184,800 0.08 145,900 0.04 12,349 0 14.376
2009 Feb 1,156 -0.25 -0.32 175,000 0.03 142,300 0 12,622 0 10.918
2009 Mar 1,372 -0.2 -0.36 172,000 -0.04 143,800 -0.03 12,807 -0.02 9.334
2009 Apr 1,499 -0.14 -0.29 180,900 -0.02 148,000 -0.03 12,690 -0.06 8.465
2009 May 1,664 -0.13 -0.33 184,100 -0.01 151,600 0 12,601 -0.08 7.572
2009 Jun 1,953 -0.07 -0.2 189,400 -0.02 156,100 -0.01 12,516 -0.1 6.408
2009 Jul 2,040 0.08 -0.14 186,000 0 158,400 0.03 12,413 -0.12 6.084
2009 Aug 1,790 -0.01 -0.26 180,300 -0.02 147,500 -0.02 12,224 -0.12 6.829
2009 Sep 1,578 -0.05 -0.16 174,500 -0.01 146,700 0.02 11,865 -0.13 7.519
2009 Oct 1,760 0.24 0.02 166,300 -0.1 138,600 -0.04 11,583 -0.14 6.581
Year Month Sales 1 Yr Change 2 Yr Change Average Price % Price Change Median Price % 1 Yr Change Active Listings % 1 Yr Change Months of Inventory

Average and median prices, unfortunately, posted losses.  San Antonio might be selling more homes, but the homes may only be selling because they are priced so low.  The average home price of $166,300 is 10 percent lower than last October’s $184,500.  The median price of $138,600 was 4 percent lower than the $144,300 seen last October.

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